Thursday, November 21, 2013

Fantasy Football Who's Hot/Who's Not - QB's - Week 12

Sorry I missed last weeks Who's Hot/ Who's Not session but fear not I got it in this week. I will be posting the RB's later so be sure to check back. Since there is a game tonight as well here is a quick list of players that will be playing tonight worthy of starting in any league. Enjoy!

QB's
Drew Brees - Start
Matt Ryan - Bench *See Below*

RB's
Pierre Thomas - Start
All Falcons RB's - Bench

WR's
Harry Douglas - Start 
Roddy White - Bench
Marques Colston - Start in deeper leagues
All other Saints WR's - Bench, although Kenny Stills is a great Hit or Miss play because of his deep play abilities

TE's
Jimmy Graham - Start as usual
Tony Gonzalez - Bench, based on the short week and even tho he leads the Falcons in red zone looks, he has only caught 4 TD's all year.

Top Hot QB's Week 12

1. Scott Tolzien - QB Green Bay Packers - A very interesting stat has come to my attention about Tolzien, he has passed for more yards in his first 2 games (619) than both Aaron Rodgers (506) and Brett Favre (486). Now don't let that fool you into thinking he is of the caliber but what it does say is that the Packers are throwing it long. They play the Minnesota Vikings this weekend who give the 3rd most fantasy points to QB's and have given up 10 TD's to them in the past 5 games. He does have a horrible TD to INT ratio 1:5 but that ratio should even itself out a little bit this Sunday.


2. Case Keenum - QB Houston Texans - Keenum unlike Tolzien has a great TD to INT ratio thus far 8:1 and will be playing a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that is giving up on average about 20 fantasy points to QB's per game. Keenum was benched last week but Coach Gary Kubiak has said that the main reason for the benching is that the 2nd year QB needs to work on when to get out of the pocket and when to stay in. This Jaguars defense has given up 20 TD's to QB's this season and have only 4 picks total, compare those to Keenum's ratio and I would say he should be in for a great game.


3. Eli Manning - QB New York Giants - Eli has had a turnover filled season with 17 INT's on the year with only 12 TD's. Now I know those are scary numbers but 4 of those TD's came against the Cowboys in Week 1, well guess who the Giants play this weekend? That's right, the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas has given up 20 TD's to opposing QB's and give up the most fantasy points to QB's so I would say it would be safe to roll with Eli this week but beware he may have a turnover or two.


4. Ryan Fitzpatrick - QB Tennessee Titans -The Titans travel to the west coast this Sunday to play the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders have given up 19 TD's on the year although 7 of them were from Nick Foles historic day a couple weeks back. Fitzpatrick has thrown 3 TD's in the last 2 games and no INT's, so against a very mediocre defense he should be able to get something rolling early, especially if they can get that run game working with it to help set up the play-action.


Not Hot QB's Week 12


1. Ryan Tannehill - QB Miami Dolphins - With the Carolina Panthers traveling to south beach this weekend I would say leave everyone on Miami's offense on your bench. The Panthers are giving up the least amount of fantasy points to QB's and that will not be changing come Sunday. The Panther's have yet to have a game where they give up more than 1 TD to a QB and have not allowed over 300 yards passing since Week 1.




2. Matt Ryan - QB Atlanta Falcons - Ryan has thrown 9 INT's in his last 4 games and will be playing a defense that has not given up more than 128 yards thru the air for their last 3 games. He will probably throw for a TD(see WR's list) but he will probably throw a pick or two as well and that is enough negative points for me to leave him alone this week.





3. Matthew McGloin - Yeah, I know he threw 3 TD's last week, but incase you were unaware he only threw for 197 yards because they relied so heavily on the run game to move the chains last week. He will be facing a very good Tennessee Titans defense that has only given up 1 TD to a QB in their last 6 games. He threw 18-for-32 pass attempts last week which puts him at a lousy 56% completion percentage. I wouldn't risk him this week, but I would consider him for some of his future match-ups (plays SD, DEN, & DAL all ranked in top 10 in fantasy points to opposing QB's)


4. Cam Newton - QB Carolina Panthers - Alright now don't overreact this is strictly a match-up based pick. Newton will be facing a very tough Miami defense that will look to keep the game low scoring with all of their offensive woes. I don't expect Newton to drop a goose egg but I do expect him to be held to a very low fantasy scoring game. The Dolphins have only allowed more than 1 TD twice this year and that was way back in weeks 3 & 4. Newton is more than capable of making me look silly for putting him here but I just don't like his match-up and I am doing this as more of a precautionary measure.

Like this post?
Then check out my list of WR's for this week too! "Fantasy Football Who's Hot/Who's Not - WR's - Week 12"


I hope this list can help you and maybe make some tough decisions you had a little easier. Be sure to check out my other posts and check back often for more Sports News & Analysis. Also check out my recap of Thursday nights game "Saints Fight Back For Win; Falcons Free Fall Continue"
Thanks for reading and be sure to share with all you Fantasy Football friends unless of course you're playing them, then I would wait a week before you show them.

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